Tuesday, October 6, 2009

No chance for PAS to win the Bagan Pinang by-election

Politically, any candidate running for the by-election will need to have an effective political campaign strategy.

What can we be very sure about in this by-election in Bagan Pinang is, the BN candidate Tan Sri Isa Samad will win the race as it had been its stronghold all the while. The only on the question that's put to us is about the majority.

Isa Samad, 60, a local who served as Negeri Sembilan Menteri Besar for 22 years since 1982, is facing state PAS commissioner Zulkefly Mohamad Omar, of Lenggeng.

Isa Samad is well known as the local hero. He is said to be more popular even some are criticized him. He is a grassroots man and people at the grassroots level are willing to support him.

Some political experts agree that the most critical factor to BN victory is the 4,604 postal voters in the uniformed corps.

Traditionally, a majority of the postal voters backed BN which lead BN to victory. Postal voters make up about a third of the electorate in Bagan Pinang and are widely seen as giving an edge to Barisan Nasional candidate Isa Samad.

Bagan Pinang has 13,664 registered voters of whom 62.8 per cent are Malays, 20.7 per cent Indians 11 per cent Chinese and 5.5 percent others. Postal voters total to 4,604.

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