Saturday, May 8, 2010

Who is Winning the Election BN or DAP?

It’s a three-cornered fight between Barisan Nasional's candidate Robert Lau Hui Yew, DAP's Wong Ho Leng and independent Narawi Harun in the Sibu Parliamentary by-election.

Ironically, it goes without saying that this will certainly be a closely-fight between BN and DAP.Undeniably, BN has an upper hand in this by-election.It is widely believed that BN will win the by-election.

The predicted BN's eventual victory is base on the track record of the ruling party and government performance, social networking efficacy, and early adoption of candidacy which led us to believe that BN is more effectively leveraging the supporters, giving BN a decisive advantage over
the campaign base on nasional issues that the opposition is running.

Winning campaigns aren’t based on guesswork but cold hard facts otherwise. BN looks to be on the right track to win and the win would mean that SUPP is on the way to regain lost ground.

One of the key pieces of data on effective campaign is require a detail planning and execute its campaign strategy is a good voter list.Obviously, the SUPP has the detail voter lists and effective door knockers to carry out door-to-door campaigning.

PKR-DAP-PAS-SNAP seems to use the same strategy to influence the general voting pattern of the Chinese in Sibu by raising the same national issues, as in all the by-election.

Although the DAP and SNAP along with PAS and PKR make up Pakatan Sarawak, but the cooperation is being seen as marriage of convenience.
DAP has been hit with an emergence of internal dispute in its local coalition partner Sarawak National Party (SNAP) two days before the domination day.

The party's sacked deputy president has declared the SNAP party’s allegiance to Barisan Nasional.

Ting Ling Kiew, who maintains that he is the rightful deputy despite being sacked from the party a year ago, is urging all party members to support the BN in the Sibu by-election.

Independent candidate Narawi Haron, a retired serviceman, which make the Sibu parliamentary by-election three-cornered fight.

Although Narawi contested in 1995 against the late Datuk Robert Lau Hoi Chew and DAP's Wong Ho Leng, garnering 975 votes.The Sibu parliamentary constituency has 54,695 voters, of those who have registered, 5,740 are Malay/Melanau (10.5 per cent), 36,389 Chinese (66.7 per cent), 48 Indians (0.1 per cent), 12,050 Ibans and other natives (22.1 per cent) and others.

There are 2,537 postal voters comprising mostly army personnel at two military camps, and police personnel.

Based on previous voting trends, with the last one in the 2008 parliamentary election, only about 45% of the Chinese voted for BN.

Robert Lau Hoi Chew's victory was mainly due to the fact that he received a high number of votes from Iban, Malay/Melanau and postal votes.

Should it not been for these votes, the result of the last election in this constituency might have gone to Wong Ho Leng of DAP who secured 15,903 as against 19,138 obtained by the late Robert Lau - a majority of 3,235 votes.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

BN will win........