Monday, August 13, 2012

Despite the trio or more defectors, Sabah remains BN's Fixed Deposit State

The recent crossovers of three senior Sabah Barisan Nasional (BN) leaders into Pakatan Rakyat and more notable Sabah Barisan Nasional (BN) personalities will cross over to the opposition camp in the coming months seem this phenomenon; the politics of defection serve no practical political purpose on Sabah politics as the general election is around the corner.

Until today, there are 3 Sabah Barisan Nasional politicians defect to opposition camp, namely Tuaran MP Datuk Seri Wilfred Mojilip Bumburing, former deputy president UPKO; Beaufort MP Datuk Seri Lajim Ukin, a former federal deputy minister and Umno supreme council member; and Senator Datuk Maijol Mahap, the vice-president of the United Pasokmomogun Kadazandusun and Murut Organisation (UPKO), a Sabah-based BN party among others.

Some claimed that the trio as a “catalyst for change” in Sabah, saying their departures would likely bring negative impact to the state's political landscape as well as the whole country. But the real political impact seem to be no other in the areas of their sphere of influences in Tuaran, Beaufort and Kota Marudu among others.

Ironically, catalyst for change is one of the key hypotheses of the political theory; it remains a very controversial assumption. It would not bring with them strong ray of support to opposition. It over simplifies the wresting of political power against federal and downplays realities on the ground.

The vacant position of the trio will be replaced by the young politicians in their parties which will continually lead the parties to maintain the support of the old as well as the new voters.

According to replies provided in Parliament last year, Sabah’s populace numbered 651,304 in 1970 had grew to 929,299 a decade later. But in the two decades following 1980, the state’s population rose significantly by a staggering 1.5 million people, reaching 2,468,246 by 2000.

In addition, mass media reported that as of 2010, this number has grown further to 3.12 million, with foreigners making up a sizeable 27 per cent or 889,799 of the population.

The tremendously grown of the Sabah new voters over the past years bring absolute political advantages to the BN government. The trio Sabah Barisan Nasional politicians or more defects to opposition camp, BN still remains as strong as before in Sabah.

Sabah should be grateful to the foresighted BN leaders who have seriously taken measures to increase the new voters in maintaining its position as the “fixed deposit” for the BN in the next state and general election.

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